Welcome to cognotrend.com

We specialize in online game development (see Wordwalk / spaghettispeller.com) and data science (time series data) analytics applied to financial data, using innovative metrics and AI support.

Bitcoin Analysis

This version uses Highcharts for an interactive visualization of Bitcoin prices and metrics:

Understanding the Variances

The variances shown in the analysis are calculated as the squared differences between the closing price and the moving averages. These metrics provide insights into how volatile the market has been relative to short-term (7-day) and long-term (30-day) trends.

• 7-Day Moving Average Variance: Captures short-term volatility.
• 30-Day Moving Average Variance: Captures long-term deviations.

Variance = (Closing Price - Moving Average)^2

These metrics help identify patterns, anomalies, and potential trading signals. See our Tutorial on EWMA for details.